2021-22 Fantasy Basketball early 2022-23 rankings: How to handle values ​​in the first round

The regular season ends Sunday, and many Fantasy leagues ended a week or more ago. So with things completed, it’s time to look forward to next season, which will hopefully be free of COVID-19-related absences and the general chaos of the past two years.

Below is a list of players who were either seen as values ​​for the first round or returned values ​​for the first round of this season. It includes top-12 per-game performers, top-12 overall performers and those who had an average draft position in the top 12. From there, we will look at whether these players should be drafted above or below their current ranking per game. match next season.

Players who finished top 12 in value per. game

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets

Rank: 1

In 2022-23: Draft No. 1 again

Jokic is miles ahead of Kevin Durant, the No. 2 player in Fantasy this season per. match. The likely back-to-back MVP yields some of the best offensive numbers in NBA history with 27.0 points on 17.6 shots, 13.7 rebounds, 7.9 assists and 2.3 combined steal-plus blocks. He also does it from a scarcity, as reliable Fantasy centers, especially those that can hit 3s and / or shoot effectively from the charity strip, are rare. The return of Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray next season may cut into Jokic’s obscene use, but it could also seemingly lead to better efficiency and more assists. In the end, there is no safer game on the board.

Kevin Durant, Nets

Rank: 2

In 2022-23: Draft lower

Durant has been incredible and would be part of the legendary MVP “conversation” if the Nets did not buzz and his game (52) was louder. He has delivered an excellent 29.9 points on 20.3 shots, 7.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 1.8 combined steal-plus blocks in 37.0 minutes. Despite the amazing performances, it’s hard to justify drafting Durant as high as No. 2 next season. He has appeared in just 87 games in the regular season in two years since recovering from his torn Achilles, and his 37.0 minutes per game. match is not durable for next season. Plus, a presumably full-time Kyrie Irving plus Ben Simmons will keep Durant’s consumption a bit lower than it was during this tumultuous campaign.

Joel Embiid, 76

Rating: 3

In 2022-23: Draft lower

This is Embiid’s best season, especially considering his health. His 66 games played mark the highlight of his career, and his ranking per game is two places higher than his previous high. Still, I am not ready to declare Embiid free from significant injury risk, and it may also be reasonable to wonder whether he has reached his statistical ceiling. Maybe not, but with James Harden and a more developed Tyrese Maxey around next season, Embiid’s use may not need to be that high in 2022-23 compared to what he had to deal with most of this season.

LeBron James, Lakers

Rating: 4

In 2022-23: Draft lower

James defied the logic of posting his best fantasy season per game since his final year in Miami despite being 37 years old. As much as I believe in his ability to age gracefully, I will not bet that James will post an equally high or better season as a 38-year-old, especially when there have been several cracks in the armor – max 67 games played as a member of the Lakers. New guard construction will also play a role, but I can not imagine it really lifts James’ numbers.

James Harden, 76ers

Rank: 5

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Maybe this is a hot take – the discourse around Harden has become turbulent – but I expect a better season out of him in 2022-23. It does matter that he had a bad year by his standards, but consider how high those standards are and consider that he still finished in fifth place despite shooting only 41.2 percent from the field. Does he really fall, or was he unhappy in a situation he did not expect and then switched to a team with a completely different structure, which made it difficult for him to play up to expectations? I’m betting on the latter.

Kyrie Irving, Nets

Rating: 6

In 2022-23: Draft lower

If things hold, this will be Irving’s third year in a row, finishing in sixth place in value per. game. But during this stretch he has only appeared in 100 matches. Yes, much of it was due to COVID-19-related personal absence, yet he has not been an exceptionally healthy player. His tendency to miss matches has resulted in the points guard never being placed higher than 10th in total value. If that’s his realistic ceiling, I’ll not put him in sixth.

Stephen Curry, Warriors

Rating: 7

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Curry has ended up at or above this rank per. fight in all but two seasons of his career. After his warm start, he cooled off after breaking the 3-point record and never really recovered. Still, I have a hard time believing that this is the beginning of the end of Curry’s dominance, so I like to take him higher than seventh. His missed matches over the last handful of seasons are becoming a concern, but I do not think there are many opportunities with higher upside around this area.

Trae Young, Hawks

Rating: 8

In 2022-23: Draft higher

After a slight drop in statistics last season, Young is set to return for the first round, as he did as another. He is practically a walking 30-and-10, averaging 28.2 points and 9.7 assists in 34.9 minutes. Given that he is only 23 years old, the sky seems to be the limit for Young. Maybe a better performing team around him could cut into his numbers again, but his bottom is pretty high, even if that is the case.

Karl-Anthony Towns, Timberwolves

Rating: 9

In 2022-23: Draft higher

This will be Towns’ sixth season in a row, ending in the Top 10 in Fantasy. The team around him is improving, resulting in lower box-score stats for Towns, but he improved his shooting efficiency to keep his Fantasy value elevated. Since the center is also a tight position, it is an extra valuable choice to make. There have not been many more stable sources of Fantasy value in the last half decade.

Dejounte Murray, Spurs

Rating: 10

In 2022-23: Draft lower

The numbers suggest Murray should be drafted higher than this, as Spurs are likely to still rebuild and he is still improving as a 25-year-old. It will just be hard on draft day to draft him over proven All-NBA caliber players and multi-year Top-10 Fantasy values. I’m sure he will be a popular choice at the turn and into the early second round where I would be comfortable taking him.

Paul George, Clippers

Rating: 11

In 2022-23: Draft lower

It’s hard to measure how real George’s value per game is. He has only shot 41.9 percent from the field – 44.6 FG% over the previous five seasons – but has received 2.1 steals per game. fight, which represents a career high. The better indication of George’s potential for next season may be to look at his first two years with the Clippers, where he ranked 27th and 19th in value per game. match. I would rather go from these numbers than this season’s numbers, especially if I assume Kawhi Leonard will be healthy and steal the use.

Rating: 12

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Antetokounmpo has finished as a top-13 value over the last six seasons and topped as No. 3 in 2018-19 as his pass rate increased, he did not shoot as many 3s and his free throw percentage was respectable (72.9 %). His free throw percentage has reached back over 70% (72%) and he has reached career highs in scoring (29.9 PPG). There is not much more to say as the two-time MVP is one of the best players in the NBA at his best age.

Players who finished top 12 in total value, but not value per. game

Jayson Tatum, Celtics

Ranking per. games: 14

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Tatum finishes as a top-15 player for the second year in a row, and his production this season has been on a steady rise all along. This latest rise should give Fantasy managers a taste of what might be possible if he really takes another leap. Since March, he has averaged 32.0 points on 21.1 shots, 6.5 rebounds and 5.1 assists in 36.4 minutes. The efficiency is probably unsustainable, but it looks like he’s on the verge of becoming a legitimate superstar.

Tyrese Haliburton, Pacers

Ranking per. games: 22

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Haliburton’s state profile was apparently made for Fantasy. He is an effective shooter, a great passer and a defender who steals. Between his time in Sacramento and Indiana, he has been in 22nd place, but he has been much better since joining the Pacers, averaging 17.4 points on 12.5 shots, 9.6 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 combined steal-plus blocks. The Pacers are probably looking to rebuild next season and Haliburton should be the main focus.

LaMelo Ball, Hornets

Ranking per. games: 15

In 2022-23: Draft higher

There are still real flaws in Ball’s play – poor field-goal percentage (42.6%) and lack of free throws (3.3 attempts) – but that has not stopped him from being a fantastic Fantasy opportunity as a 20-year-old. . He also still sees only 32.3 minutes per. match for his 19.9 points, 7.6 assists, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 steals. Overall improvements could increase both his workload, use and production. It’s almost impossible to justify taking him lower than he finished this season.

DeMar DeRozan, Bulls

Ranking per. games: 24

In 2022-23: Draft lower

This season has been a revelation for DeRozan, and it’s his by far best Fantasy season – his previous highest was rank 39. However, I would not assume he will improve next year, especially provided better health for the Bulls. He’s still a clear choice in the third round, but I’m not sure I would go much higher.

Round 1 players who, however, did not give value in the first round

Luka Doncic, Mavericks

Ranking per. games: 13

In 2022-23: Draft higher

Doncic has ranked 13th, but he started the season slowly and has really picked up speed since the end of January, suggesting his upside is much higher for next season. Over his last 28 games, he has averaged 32.1 points on 22.9 shots, 9.5 rebounds, 8.6 assists and 1.8 steals-plus blocks in 36.4 minutes. It may be impossible for the Mavericks to add another high-consumption player to the mix, so there should be no worries that someone will take Doncic’s stats.

Bradley Beal, wizards

Ranking per. games: 47

In 2022-23: Draft higher

It was a challenging year for Beal. His shot took a marked downward turn from 23.0 to 19.3, and his free-throw attempt dropped from 7.7 to 5.1. His efficiency also dropped across the board, leading to an average of just 23.2 points per game. match compared to his two previous seasons at 30.9 points. While his assists rose from 4.4 to 6.6, that was not enough to offset the declining volume and effectiveness of his shots. I do not think he will continue a slide, so I am willing to draft him higher in hopes of an upturn season, driven in part by the addition of Kristaps Porzingis.

Anthony Davis, Lakers

Ranking per. games: 17

In 2022-23: Draft lower

This is a tough call for me and I ultimately decided for lower as I typically avoid drafting AD, like Embiid, due to injury issues. Davis’ numbers have taken a marked downfall over the last two seasons – he averaged just 21.8 points and 7.9 rebounds last year – and I’m not sure what to expect from him anymore, even when he is healthy. Make sure he does not fall out of the second round, but I would rather take other chances with my first round selection.

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